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  1. #1
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    Christian McCaffrey is on pace to break the Carolina

    Panthers single-season record for total yards from scrimmage. Through nine games CMC has churned out 1 Youth Kawann Short Jersey ,018 yards (579 rushing, 439 receiving) which averages out to 113.1 yards per contest. If he can keep this pace over a full 16-game season, McCaffrey will produce 1,810 yards from scrimmage which would shatter the Panthers record. Per Football Reference, here are the team’s all-time leaders:Panthers yards from scrimmage leadersRankPlayerYearYardsRankPlayerYearYardsBy exceeding 1,800 yards, McCaffrey wouldn’t only break the Panthers’ single season record, he’d absolutely crush it. The mix of McCaffrey’s yards would make his season even more special. At his current pace he will finish the season with 1,029 rushing yards and 781 receiving yards. According to Football Reference, only seven players in NFL history have eclipsed 1,000 rushing yards and 780 receiving yards in a single season: Marshall Faulk (three times), Todd Gurley, David Johnson Womens Youth Mario Addison Jersey Authentic Elite Limited Wholesale Nike Carolina Panthers NFL Shop , Le’Veon Bell, Matt Forte, Steven Jackson, and Roger Craig. This list includes some of the most dominant and versatile backs in league history, and Christian McCaffrey looks poised to join their ranks. When looking at CMC’s season thus far, most of his production came between Weeks 2-3 and Weeks 9-10. In Week 2-3 his 333 yards led the NFL and was aided by his 102 receiving yards against the Atlanta Falcons followed by his 184 rushing yards against the Cincinnati Bengals. Over his last two games in Weeks 9-10, McCaffrey’s 295 yards is third in the NFL, trailing Nick Chubb and Ezekiel Elliott (tied at 299 yards) by just four yards. McCaffrey is also finding the end zone. His eight total touchdowns through nine games puts him on pace for 14 scores this year. A total of 14 touchdowns would rank third on the Panthers all-time list, trailing only DeAngelo Williams (20 in 2008) and Muhsin Muhammad (16 in 2004). CMC is on pace to re-write the Panthers record books. Or, said in another and more appropriate way, Christian McCaffrey is on target to hurdle his way to the top. Addressing the defensive end position needs to be a priority in the 2019 draft. It wouldn’t be surprising to see Carolina invest a first or second round pick at the position. But since the Panthers still have their picks in Rounds 4 through 6 (they traded Round 7 in the 2017 Kevon Seymour deal) I wanted to explore how likely it would be for Carolina to land a solid defensive end in the later rounds. You know, finding a “sleeper”, a term almost all of us have used before with either late Panthers picks in years past or during our own fantasy drafts. But how likely is it that the Panthers can actually land a solid defensive end in the late rounds? One way to assess this is to simply look at the draft position of today’s “good” defensive ends. For “good” defensive ends I used Football Reference’s Approximate Value (AV) from 2018 and found a natural cutoff point at an AV of five or higher. I then cross-referenced AV with free Womens Donte Jackson Jersey , public data from Pro Football Focus and feel comfortable that while this list isn’t perfect, it’s at least directionally correct (full spreadsheet here). Here are the draft positions of the Top 32 defensive ends in 2018 as rated by AV:Not surprisingly, 18 of the 32 best defensive ends in 2018 were drafted in the first two rounds, but it did raise my eyebrows a bit to see an even split of nine first rounders and nine second rounders. Only six of the top 32 were drafted between rounds 4 through 7, so the odds aren’t great for the Panthers finding a sleeper. As a frame of reference, the six solid defensive ends drafted in the later rounds are Everson Griffen (4th), Alex Okafor (4th), Brent Urban (4th), D.J. Reader (5th), Darius Philon (6th), and Stephen Weatherly (7th). Now, let’s look at the “hit rate” of late-round picks at defensive end. While this is an arbitrary number on my part, a solid NFL career can last eight years if not longer. Based on data from Football Reference a total of 92 defensive ends were drafted in Round 4 or later between 2011 and 2018. In all Womens Youth Jarius Wright Jersey Authentic Elite Limited Wholesale Nike Carolina Panthers NFL Shop , of the 92 defensive ends drafted between Round 4 and 7 over the last eight years only six are among the NFL’s Top 32, putting the hit rate at just 6.5 percent (six of 92). Another interesting observation is four undrafted free agents are among the NFL’s better defensive ends. This includes our very own Mario Addison, Romeo Okwara, Michael Bennett, and Cameron Wake. However, every year upwards of 500 UDFAs get signed every year, so good luck if that’s your path forward. If history continues to repeat itself the Panthers aren’t going to find a quality starter in the back half of the draft, though I would be delighted if they proved me wrong. This isn’t a shocking conclusion in and of itself, but it really illustrates just how rare it is to find true quality at defensive end in Round 4 or later. If anyone is holding out hope for a late-round defensive end sleeper, it’s probably time to wake up and smell the data.

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